Harnessing Hope: International Migration, Remittances and Development
Remittances–that
is, migrant earnings sent back to countries of origin–are
the main reason experts point to international migration as important
for poverty reduction. Although exact numbers are hard to pin
down, the sums are enormous. The World Bank estimates that, in
2005, formally transferred remittances rang in at about US$232
billion –of which developing countries received $167 billion.(65) The actual amount of remittances is considered
to be substantially higher, since this figure does not take into account funds
transferred through non-formal channels.
Remittances
are considerably larger than the value of Official Development
Assistance (ODA) and comprise the second-largest source of external
funding for developing countries after Foreign Direct Investment
(FDI). Furthermore, remittances tend to be a more predictable
and stable source of income than either FDI or ODA. For some small
countries they represent a high share of GDP, such as in Tonga
(31 per cent), the Republic of Moldova (27 per cent), Lesotho
(26 per cent) and Haiti (25 per cent).(66)Fully 70 per cent of China's FDI comes from the Chinese
diaspora.(67) So great is the impact
on developing world economies that the World Bank theorizes that
a 10 per cent increase in remittances as a proportion of a country's
GDP could result in a 1.2 per cent reduction in the share of people
living in extreme poverty.(68)
This
is borne out by statistics. In Nicaragua, more than 60 per cent
of the 22,000 households who escaped poverty between 1998 and
2001 had a family member living abroad.(69)
Remittances sent by migrants to El Salvador, Eritrea, Jamaica,
Jordan, Nicaragua and Yemen in 2000 increased the GNP of these
countries by more than 10 per cent.(70)
That same year, 1.2 million Moroccans managed to escape poverty
purely on the strength of remittance income alone.(71)
According to ECLAC, in 2002, remittances from abroad helped to
boost 2.5 million people living in Latin American and the Caribbean
above the poverty line.(72)
The
propensity to remit–and the amount sent–depends on a
variety of factors such as age, number of dependents, the marital
status of the migrant and the duration of residence in the host
country. Thus, one study finds that Mexican migrants are most
likely to remit when they are married, under the age of 40 and
with strong social contacts in the host country.(73)
Women send a larger proportion of their lesser resources than
men(74)(see Chapter 2); temporary
migrants send more money than permanent residents; and unskilled/semi-skilled
labourers tend to generate more than highly skilled professionals
(although this is partly due to the fact that there is a smaller
pool of the latter).(75) Another factor
that affects remittance levels is the strength of the migrant's
kinship ties and intent to return to the country of origin. In
other words, migrants who plan to eventually head back home are
more inclined to remit than those who choose to stay. By implication,
this also means that remittances may decline as ties with communities
of origin weaken over time.(76)
While
the impact of remittances on developing countries would appear
to be clearly beneficial, part of the literature still questions
whether remittances have positive implications for short-term
poverty or longer-term development. A major issue is that the
poorest people and the poorest countries profit the least from
remittances. The largest recipients are middle-income countries:
Sub-Saharan Africa received only 1.5 per cent of all remittance
flows in 2002.(77) This only serves
to show that people from the poorest regions have the most difficulty
migrating, earning and remitting funds from abroad. Another concern
is that remittances can sometimes exacerbate income inequality
in the country of origin, with remittance-receiving families and
communities prospering while less fortunate neighbours do without.(78)
In addition, some experts argue that remittances encourage dependency
by discouraging government efforts to take the steps necessary
to restructure their economies.(79)
Still others contend that donor countries will use remittances
as an excuse to shrug off ODA commitments to combat poverty, while
developing countries might neglect the needs of their most vulnerable
populations because some poor families are receiving remittance
income. Thus, despite its contribution to poverty reduction, migration
is not necessarily the ultimate equalizer-particularly in an increasingly
unequal world.
Some
experts also express concern that most remittances do not generally
find their way into productive investments. This is because remittances
are privately owned monies that are largely used to contribute
to family income rather than to capital flows, and because migrants
tend to be unfamiliar with investment instruments.(80)
Existing research, however, underscores the fact that remittances
could play a more significant role in development and poverty
alleviation. Whether remittances are used for the purposes of
investment or consumption, they bring important benefits to the
households, communities and countries that receive them.(81)
Remittances have proven more stable than other forms of private
financial flows to developing countries and can cushion countries
from economic fluctuations and shocks.(82)
After an exhaustive analysis, the IOM concludes that recipients
of international remittances are more likely to save, and that
remittances can be used for small businesses and pave the way
to credit for use as investment capital. By creating new demands
for labour-intensive goods and services, they can also boost aggregate
demand and, therefore, output and income.(83)
The World Bank, the UN and other development institutions express
similar views.(84)
What
is missing, most experts agree, are mechanisms capable of harnessing
the potential of remittances to promote longer-term economic growth.
Another issue is the cost of transferring funds. While they have
come down, transfer costs remain a key barrier owing to the fact
that they can consume up to 20 per cent of remittance income.(85)
Several institutions, including the World Bank, are already addressing
this problem.(86)
PUTTING TRANSNATIONAL NETWORKS TO WORK: COLLECTIVE AND "SOCIAL" REMITTANCES
Nowadays,
improved communication and cheaper transportation mean that migration
no longer represents a definitive break with the past. A large
and growing number of links to the home community helps maintain
local, national, ethnic and religious ties. In turn, such ties
also help generate other kinds of financial flows beyond individual
remittances-including FDI, expatriate tourism, hometown association
philanthropy and fundraising.(87)
Although the potential for development through formal diaspora
networks is enormous, mechanisms for channelling it are still
nascent.
Collective
remittances could be combined with matching funds provided by
public sources or by development agencies.(88)
At present, the volume of "collective" remittances is
still very small: In Central America, it represents only 1 per
cent of total remittances.(89) In
Mexico, government-sponsored programmes are attempting to channel
worker remittances into infrastructure development and business
start-ups. In 1999, Mexican federal, state and municipal governments
started the "Tres por Uno" (Three for One) programme
which provides three dollars for every one remittance dollar sent
back from the US. In 2004, the programme successfully raised US$70
million that was then used to fund regional infrastructural and
community projects. Programme organizers are now working with
the World Bank to initiate projects that will lead to greater
employment and thus encourage would-be émigrés to
stay home.(90)
The
transnational diaspora network can also form a bridgehead for
home country enterprises looking to market goods and services
to the host country.(91) For instance,
many credit Korean-Americans with the successful penetration of
the US market by Korean cars, electronics and manufactured products.
In Canada, skilled migration from Asia led to a 74 per cent increase
in Asian imports to the country. Meanwhile, formal and informal
diaspora networks are playing a significant role transmitting
information and knowledge to compatriots back home.(92)
The importance of such networks is giving rise to policy recommendations
aimed specifically at maximizing their developmental potential
in a globalized society.
Further,
there is the issue of "social" remittances–the
transfer of ideas, information, knowledge, attitudes, behaviour
patterns, identities, culture and social capital from one culture
to another.(93) In their contacts
with, or return to, communities of origin, migrants can become
agents of political and cultural transformation, which can be
particularly beneficial to furthering gender equality (see
Chapter 2). Not only do source countries benefit, but receiving
countries as well. In Australia, for example, the IOM contends
that large-scale migration from Asia and elsewhere has greatly
boosted the country's economic, social and political interactions
with origin countries. Although the organization points out that
such benefits have not yet been "quantified", they are
nonetheless significant. These include linguistic and cultural
diversity and a greater "openness" to other countries,
in addition to a concomitant range of attitudes, values and mores.
These have all contributed significantly to Australia's culture
and way of life.(94)
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