UNFPAState of World Population 2002
Back to Main Menu
HOME: STATE OF WORLD POPULATION 2002: Overview
State of World Population
Sections
Overview
Characterizing Poverty
Macro-economics, Poverty, Population and Development
Women and Gender Inequality
Health and Poverty
HIV/AIDS and Poverty
Poverty and Education
Population, Poverty and Global Development Goals: the Way Ahead
Notes
Sources for Boxes
Indicators
Graphs and Tables

Overview

Introduction
Population, Development and the Millennium Development Goals
Other Key Issues
How to Meet Poverty Eradication Goals

Introduction

Attacking poverty directly-as a matter of human rights, to accelerate development and to reduce inequality within and among nations-has become an urgent global priority. World leaders have agreed on a variety of new initiatives, including the United Nations' Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). This year's State of World Population report is a contribution to the discussion and a guide to action.

The number of people (3 billion) living on $2 a day or less (1) is the same as additions to world population since 1960. Of course, the relationship is not direct, but population cannot be ignored in the discussion about poverty and how to end it.

  • Fertility and population growth are highest in the poorest countries. The least-developed countries will most likely triple their populations by 2050, from 600 million in 1995 to 1.8 billion (2).
  • Population age structures have an impact on development: a high proportion of young dependents hold back economic growth.
  • Urban growth is fastest among poor populations. Many of the new urban migrants are very poor, driven by environmental collapse or economic hopes or hardship.

Development has often bypassed the poorest people, and has even increased their disadvantages. The poor need direct action to bring them into the development process and create the conditions for them to escape from poverty.

1 ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY

The world economic situation poses challenges to progress towards the MDGs. Overall, in the 1990s gross domestic product (GDP) per capita grew by 1.6 per cent a year in developing countries. But these slow gains were unevenly distributed. The per capita GDP growth of the poorest countries in the 1990s was slower than in the 1980s.

Lower-middle-income countries also had poorer economic performance in the 1990s than the 1980s. Transitional and developing economies in Europe and Central Asia actually declined in the 1990s. In 1999-2000 GDP growth per capita in low-income countries in this region was 2.2 per cent per year. Similar rates held regionally in Latin America and the Caribbean, South Asia, and the Middle East and North Africa. Sub-Saharan African per capita economic performance grew by only 0.6 per cent. While extreme income poverty declined in the 1990s, much of that was due to progress in a few countries in Asia.

The new decade started with even greater uncertainty. Recent global reductions in trade, a spreading economic contraction and new banking and finance crises as in Brazil and Argentina are posing challenges to economic growth. Economic growth alone may not be enough to ensure progress towards the MDGs. Whatever gains are made need to be directed to reduce poverty. See source

The world's nations agreed as long ago as 1994 that population and development work is central to this purpose. The 1994 International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) addressed population and reproductive health concerns within a broad development framework, stressing the need to incorporate diverse population issues-including growth, location, age distribution and movement, and their evolving dynamics-in addressing issues of sustainable development.

The ICPD adopted important goals, including better reproductive health, universal education and gender equality, all within the context of human rights (3). Work towards these goals fits seamlessly into the MDGs, and reinforces progress towards them.

Work towards population goals helps reduce poverty in several ways. Two of the most important:

  • Slower population growth has encouraged overall economic growth in developing countries (4). Since 1970, developing countries with lower fertility and slower population growth have seen higher productivity, more savings and more productive investment. Incomes, the usual measure of poverty, have risen across the board.
  • Incomes do not tell the whole story. Successful developing countries have also invested in universal health care, including reproductive health, and education. They have moved to reduce gender inequality and remove obstacles to women's particpation in the wider society. These social investments promote human rights. They improve human well-being, help close the gaps between the poor and the better off, and reduce the disadvantages under which poor people labour. Poor people themselves measure the quality of their lives in this broader way.

Chapter 2 looks at ways to describe and measure poverty.

THE DEMOGRAPHIC WINDOW Social investments help reach the goal of slower population growth. Improving health care, education and opportunities for women is a matter of human rights; it empowers women, and it also results in smaller families overall. Within a generation this downturn in fertility opens a demographic window, a period in which a large group of working-age people is supporting relatively fewer older and younger dependents. The demographic window is a unique opportunity for countries to invest in economic growth. The window opens only once and not for long. Within another generation it closes again, as populations age and dependency increases once more.

Taking advantage of the demographic window has accounted for a third of the annual economic growth of the East Asian "tigers". Mexico, Brazil and some other countries have also taken advantage of their demographic window. Others have been less successful. The poorest countries are a long way from opening the demographic window, but investment now will safeguard the future. Investment will also protect the present. It will save women's lives, and protect their families. It will empower them to take control of their lives.

Evidence also suggests that the economic gains from declining fertility change the distribution of wealth to the benefit of the poor. The "macro" effects of population on development are discussed in Chapter 3.

 Back to top PreviousNext 
      |      Main Menu      |      Press Kit      |      Charts & Graphs      |      Indicators   |