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The statistical tables in this year's State of World Population
report once again give special attention to indicators that
can help track progress in meeting the quantitative and qualitative
goals of the International Conference on Population and Development
in the areas of mortality reduction, access to education, and access
to reproductive health services, including family planning. Future
reports will include different process measures when these become
available, as ICPD follow-up efforts lead to improved monitoring
systems. Improved monitoring of the financial contributions of governments,
non-governmental organizations and the private sector should also
allow better future reporting of expenditures and resource mobilization
for ICPD implementation efforts. The sources for the indicators
and their rationale for selection follow, by category.
Monitoring ICPD goals
Indicators of Mortality
Infant mortality, male and female life expectancy at birth.
Source: United Nations Population Division. 1999. World
Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision (Data diskettes, "Demographic
Indicators 1950-2050"). New York: United Nations. These indicators
are measures of mortality levels, respectively, in the first year
of life (which is most sensitive to development levels) and over
the entire lifespan.
Maternal mortality ratio. Source: Data compiled
from WHO, UNICEF, the World Bank and national sources as published
in The World Bank. 2000. World Development Indicators 2000.
Washington, D.C.: Oxford Press. This indicator presents the number
of deaths to women per 100,000 live births which result from conditions
related to pregnancy, delivery and related complications. Precision
is difficult, though relative magnitudes are informative. Estimates
below 50 are not rounded; those 50-100 are rounded to the nearest
5; 100-1,000, to the nearest 10; and above 1,000, to the nearest
100. Several of the estimates differ from official government figures.
The estimates are based on reported figures wherever possible, using
approaches to improve the comparability of information from different
sources. See the source for details on the origin of particular
national estimates. Estimates and methodologies are being reviewed
by WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, academic institutions and other agencies
and will be revised where necessary, as part of the ongoing process
of improving maternal mortality data.TATE OF WORLD POPULATION 2000
Indicators of Education
Male and female gross primary enrolment ratios, male and
female gross secondary enrolment ratios. Source: Spreadsheets
provided by UNESCO; data published in the World Education Report
series; as updated in 1999 UNESCO Statistical Yearbook.
Paris: UNESCO Institute for Statistics. Gross enrolment ratios
indicate the number of students enrolled in a level in the education
system per 100 individuals in the appropriate age group. They do
not correct for individuals who are older than the level-appropriate
age due to late starts, interrupted schooling or grade repetition.
Male and female adult illiteracy. Source: Spreadsheets
provided by UNESCO; data published in the Education for All:
Status and Trends series; Paris: UNESCO. Illiteracy definitions
are subject to variation in different countries; three widely accepted
definitions are in use. In so far as possible, data refer to the
proportion who cannot, with understanding, both read and write a
short simple statement on everyday life. Adult illiteracy (rates
for persons above 15 years of age) reflects both recent levels of
educational enrolment and past educational attainment. The above
education indicators have been updated using the UN Population Division
estimates from World Population Prospects (The 1998 Revision).
Education data are most recent, ranging from 1982-1998.
Per cent reaching grade 5 of primary education. Source:
Spreadsheets provided by UNESCO; data are published in the World
Education Report series. Paris: UNESCO Institute for
Statistics. Studies of patterns of drop-out show high consistency
between completing 5th grade and completing primary school. We report
the former, following our source (identified as "Survival rate to
grade 5"). Data are most recent within the years 1980-1998.
Indicators of Reproductive Health
Contraceptive knowledge.
Source: United Nations Population Division. 1996. World
Population Monitoring 1996. New York: United Nations. These
indicators, derived from sample survey reports, estimate the proportion
of women who have knowledge of a method of family planning and know
a source from which contraceptives can be obtained. All contraceptive
methods (medical, barrier, natural and traditional) are included
in the first indicator; source information is more relevant to medical
and barrier contraceptives and to modern periodic abstinence methods.
These numbers are generally but not completely comparable across
countries due to variation in populations surveyed by age (15- to
49-year-old women being most common) and marital status (e.g., currently
or ever-married women, or all women) and in the timing of the surveys.
Most of the data were collected during 1987-1994.
Births per 1,000 women aged 15-19. Source: United
Nations Population Division. 1999. World Population Prospects:
The 1998 Revision (Data diskettes, "Demographic Indicators
1950-2050"); and United Nations Population Division. 1998. Age
Patterns of Fertility: The 1998 Revision. New York: United
Nations. This is an indicator of the burden of fertility on young
women. Since it is an annual level summed over all women in the
age cohort, it does not reflect fully the level of fertility for
women during their youth. Since it indicates the annual average
number of births per woman per year, one could multiply it by five
to approximate the number of births to 1,000 young women during
their late teen years. The measure does not indicate the full dimensions
of teen pregnancy as only live births are included in the numerator.
Stillbirths and spontaneous or induced abortions are not reflected.
Contraceptive prevalence. Source: United Nations
Population Division. 1998. Contraceptive Trends and Levels 1998
(wallchart). New York: United Nations. These data are derived
from sample survey reports and estimate the proportion of married
women (including women in consensual unions) currently using, respectively,
any method or modern methods of contraception. Modern or clinic
and supply methods include male and female sterilization, IUD, the
pill, injectables, hormonal implants, condoms and female barrier
methods. These numbers are roughly but not completely comparable
across countries due to variation in populations surveyed by age
(15- to 49-year-old women being most common; slightly more than
half of the database), in the timing of the surveys, and in the
details of the questions. All of the data were collected in 1975
or later. The most recent survey data available are cited; nearly
80 per cent of the data refer to the period 1987-1996.
Demographic, Social and Economic Indicators
Total population 2000, projected population 2025, average
annual population growth rate for 1995-2000. Source: United
Nations Population Division. 1999. World Population Prospects:
The 1998 Revision. (Data diskettes, "Demographic Indicators
1950-2050"); and United Nations Population Division. 1998. Annual
Populations 1950-2050: The 1998 Revision. New York: United
Nations. These indicators present the size, projected future size
and current period annual growth of national populations.
Per cent urban, urban growth rates. Source: United
Nations Population Division. 1996. World Urbanization Prospects:
The 1996 Revision. New York: United Nations. These indicators
reflect the proportion of the national population living in urban
areas and the growth rate in urban areas projected for 1995-2000.
Agricultural population per hectare of arable and permanent
crop land. Source: Data provided by Food and Agriculture
Organization, using agricultural population data based on the total
populations from United Nations Population Division. 1999. World
Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision. New York: United Nations.
This indicator relates the size of the agricultural population to
the land suitable for agricultural production. It is responsive
to changes in both the structure of national economies (proportions
of the workforce in agriculture) and in technologies for land development.
High values can be related to stress on land productivity and to
fragmen-tation of land holdings. However, the measure is also sensitive
to differing development levels and land use policies. Data refer
to the year 1997.
Total fertility rate (period: 1995-2000). Source:
United Nations Population Division. 1999. World Population Prospects:
The 1998 Revision. (Data diskettes, "Demographic Indicators
1950-2050".) New York: United Nations. The measure indicates the
number of children a woman would have during her reproductive years
if she bore children at the rate estimated for different age groups
in the specified time period. Countries may reach the projected
level at different points within the period.
Access to basic care. Note: This indicator has
been omitted from this year's report due to interagency concern
about its reliability and validity. Consultations about an appropriate
alternate indicator of access to health care are anticipated.
Births with skilled attendants. Source: World
Health Organization; updated information provided by WHO. This indicator
is based on national reports of the proportion of births attended
by "skilled health personnel or skilled attendant: doctors (specialist
or non-specialist) and/or persons with mid-wifery skills who can
diagnose and manage obstetrical complications as well as normal
deliveries". Data estimates are the most recent available.
Gross national product per capita. Source: 1998
figures from: The World Bank. 2000. World Development Indicators
2000. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank. This indicator measures
the total output of goods and services for final use produced by
residents and non-residents, regardless of allocation to domestic
and foreign claims, in relation to the size of the population. As
such, it is an indicator of the economic productivity of a nation.
It differs from gross domestic product by further adjusting for
income received from abroad for labour and capital by residents,
for similar payments to non-residents, and by incorporating various
technical adjustments including those related to exchange rate changes
over time. This measure also takes into account the differing purchasing
power of currencies by including purchasing power parity (PPP) adjustments
of "real GNP". Some PPP figures are based on regression models;
others are extrapolated from the latest International Comparison
Programme benchmark estimates; see original source for details.
Central government expenditures on education and health.
Source: The World Bank. 2000. World Development Indicators
2000. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank. These indicators reflect
the priority afforded to education and health sectors by a country
through the government expenditures dedicated to them. They are
not sensitive to differences in allocations within sectors, e.g.,
primary education or health services in relation to other levels,
which vary considerably. Direct comparability is complicated by
the different administrative and budgetary responsibilities allocated
to central governments in relation to local governments, and to
the varying roles of the private and public sectors. Reported estimates
are calculated from source data on public education spending as
a share of GNP, per capita health expenditures (in PPP adjusted
dollars) and the share of health expenditure from public sources.
Data refer to the most recent estimates 1990-1998.
External assistance for population. Source: UNFPA.
1999. Global Population Assistance Report 1997. New York:
UNFPA. This figure provides the amount of external assistance expended
in 1997 for population activities in each country. External funds
are disbursed through multilateral and bilateral assistance agencies
and by non-governmental organizations. Donor countries are indicated
by their contributions being placed in parentheses. Future editions
of this report will use other indicators to provide a better basis
for comparing and evaluating resource flows in support of population
and reproductive health programmes from various national and international
sources. Regional totals include both country-level projects and
regional activities (not otherwise reported in the table).
Under-5 mortality. Source: United Nations Population
Division, special tabulation based on United Nations. 1999. World
Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision. New York: United Nations.
This indicator relates to the incidence of mortality to infants
and young children. It reflects, therefore, the impact of diseases
and other causes of death on infants, toddlers and young children.
More standard demographic measures are infant mortality and mortality
rates for 1 to 4 years of age, which reflect differing causes of
and frequency of mortality in these ages. The measure is more sensitive
than infant mortality to the burden of childhood diseases, including
those preventable by improved nutrition and by immunization programmes.
Under-5 mortality is here expressed as deaths to children under
5 per 1,000 live births in a given year. The estimate refers to
the period 1995-2000.
Per capita energy consumption. Source: The World
Bank. 1999. World Development Indicators 1999. Washington,
D.C.: The World Bank. This indicator reflects annual consumption
of commercial primary energy (coal, lignite, petroleum, natural
gas and hydro, nuclear and geothermal electricity) in kilograms
of oil equivalent per capita. It reflects the level of industrial
development, the structure of the economy and patterns of consumption.
Changes over time can reflect changes in the level and balance of
various economic activities and changes in the efficiency of energy
use (including decreases or increases in wasteful consumption).
Data are for 1996.
Access to safe water. Source: WHO/UNICEF. Water
Supply and Sanitation Sector Monitoring Report 1996. This indicator
reports the percentage of the population with access to
an adequate amount of safe drinking water located
within a convenient distance from the user's dwelling.
The italicized words use country-level definitions. It is related
to exposure to health risks, including those resulting from improper
sanitation. Data are from 1990-1994.
TECHNICAL NOTES
The State Of World Population 2000
Editorial Team
Editor: Alex Marshall
Research and Writing: Stan Bernstein
Managing Editor: William A. Ryan
Editorial Research: Reed Boland, Wendy Harcourt,
Karen Hardee and Ann McCauley
Editorial Assistant: Phyllis Brachman
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